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EC

Equity Commonwealth (EQC)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2024 diluted EPS was $0.22, up from $0.19 YoY and flat vs Q3 2023, driven by higher interest income; total revenues were $15.19M vs $15.58M YoY as office occupancy declined .
  • FFO per diluted share rose to $0.26 vs $0.22 YoY; Normalized FFO was $0.25 vs $0.23, reflecting stronger interest and other income and lower income tax expense .
  • Same property NOI increased 4.3% YoY, but same property cash NOI fell 6.9% YoY, with percent leased dropping to 75.4% from 81.6% a year ago; leasing activity was 18K sq ft with negative cash rent spreads (-2.8%) .
  • Strategic catalyst: Management said “before the end of this year, we expect to either announce a transaction or move forward with a plan to wind down our business,” sharpening the timeline for capital deployment or liquidation—potentially stock-moving .
  • Cash & equivalents stood at $2.17B and no debt; the press release quantifies cash at $19.95 per share, underscoring optionality amid weak office fundamentals .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Interest and other income increased ($29.5M in Q1), supporting EPS/FFO despite lower property revenues; management cited higher average interest rates driving the YoY uplift .
  • Same property NOI rose 4.3% YoY on lower pre‑leasing demolition costs and higher lease termination fees, partially offsetting occupancy pressure .
  • Clear strategic messaging: “Before the end of this year, we expect to either announce a transaction or move forward with a plan to wind down our business,” reinforcing discipline and timeline certainty .

What Went Wrong

  • Occupancy deterioration: percent leased fell to 75.4% (from 81.2% at 12/31/23 and 81.6% YoY); percent commenced dropped to 74.6% (from 80.0% and 77.0% YoY) .
  • Cash NOI declined 6.9% YoY as lower commenced occupancy more than offset reduced demolition costs; GAAP/cash rent spreads on new/renewals were negative on cash (-2.8%) .
  • Smaller leasing volume (18K sq ft) and rising capital intensity (TI+LC $58.93 per sq ft) could weigh on near‑term cash yields and extend the path to stabilizing occupancy .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Total Revenues ($USD Millions)$15.58 $15.21 $15.15 $15.19
Diluted EPS ($)$0.19 $0.22 $0.23 $0.22
FFO per diluted share ($)$0.22 $0.26 $0.27 $0.26
Normalized FFO per diluted share ($)$0.23 $0.26 $0.26 $0.25
Interest & Other Income ($USD Millions)$28.38 $29.27 $29.67 $29.51
Same Property NOI ($USD Millions)$8.32 $8.49 $8.61 $8.67
Same Property Cash NOI ($USD Millions)$8.42 $8.21 $7.44 $7.83
Percent Leased (%)81.6% 80.8% 81.2% 75.4%
Percent Commenced (%)77.0% 79.9% 80.0% 74.6%

Segment/property detail (Annualized Rental Revenue and occupancy as of Q1 2024):

PropertyCity/StateSq Ft% Leased% CommencedAnnualized Rental Revenue ($USD Thousands)
1225 Seventeenth St (17th Street Plaza)Denver, CO708,93791.6%90.8%$29,594
Bridgepoint SquareAustin, TX440,00757.0%55.9%$9,862
206 East 9th St (Capitol Tower)Austin, TX175,51069.4%69.4%$8,201
1250 H Street, NWWashington, D.C.196,49063.4%62.5%$7,141
Total1,520,94475.4%74.6%$54,798

KPIs (Q1 2024 unless noted):

KPIQ1 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Leasing Volume (sq ft)60 54 32 18
GAAP Rent Change (new/renewals)+13.8% +6.0% +26.4% -0.5%
Cash Rent Change (new/renewals)+3.6% -1.8% +7.9% -2.8%
TI+LC per sq ft ($)$64.87 $40.57 $16.97 $58.93
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$—$2,127.8 $2,160.5 $2,170.8

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Strategic PlanFY 2024None disclosed“Before the end of this year, we expect to either announce a transaction or move forward with a plan to wind down our business.” New qualitative timeline
Distributions (Common)Q1 2024N/A$— declared per common share Maintained at $0 in Q1
REIT QualificationCY 2024Targeting qualificationManagement stated expectation to qualify as a REIT in 2024 (Q4 2023 call) Maintained expectation

No quantitative revenue/EPS/NOI guidance ranges were provided in Q1 2024 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2023, Q4 2023)Current Period (Q1 2024)Trend
Strategic Transaction vs Wind-downExploring large, transformative deals; more optimistic given credit markets; evaluating industrial/residential; REIT qualification expected in 2024 Explicit timeline to either announce a transaction or wind down by year-end Accelerated decision timeline toward resolution
Interest Income as Earnings DriverInterest income rising with rates (Q3: ~$29M; Q4: ~$29.7M) Interest & other income $29.5M, sustaining EPS/FFO Stable high contribution from cash yields
Office Leasing/OccupancySlow leasing, occupancy ~80–81% commenced; cash rent spreads mixed Occupancy declined (leased 75.4%, commenced 74.6%), negative cash rent spreads, low volume (18K sq ft) Deteriorating fundamentals
Capital Allocation (Buybacks/Capex)$93.3M buyback capacity; capex rising in some periods TI+LC elevated ($58.93/sq ft); buybacks not highlighted as executed in Q1 Higher leasing capital intensity; buyback optionality remains
Sector Focus (Industrial/Residential)Prefers industrial/residential; watching private/public market dislocations Reinforced disciplined strategy; no acquisition executed Continued evaluation; still on sidelines

Management Commentary

  • “Before the end of this year, we expect to either announce a transaction or move forward with a plan to wind down our business.” (Press release)
  • “We have completed $7.6 billion of dispositions...distributed $1.8 billion...repurchased $652 million...repaid debt and preferred equity of $3.3 billion...generated a cash balance of $2.2 billion, or $19.95 per share.” (Press release business update)
  • Q4 2023 call: “We expect to qualify as a REIT in 2024.” (Prepared remarks)

Q&A Highlights

  • Governance/approvals: CFO clarified shareholder approval thresholds (e.g., issuance exceeding 20% of shares) and charter-related approvals regarding certain asset sales; context included Denver asset considerations .
  • Wind-down cost magnitude: CEO discussed an estimated $0.40–$0.50 per share for wind-down (change-of-control severance, professional fees, other wind-down costs), indicating limited scope for foregoing such payments .
  • Platform scalability: Management emphasized scalability, especially for industrial, with existing corporate staffing and property-level costs manageable if pursuing acquisitions .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus via S&P Global: Not available through our data connector for EQC this quarter (mapping error prevented retrieval). We could not obtain consensus EPS/Revenue or FFO per share from S&P Global for Q1 2024.
  • Implication: With no formal guidance and absent consensus, buyside models should center on interest income trajectory (cash yields), occupancy/lease pace, cash rent spreads, and potential wind-down timing and costs .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution timeline is now explicit: expect a transaction announcement or wind-down plan before year-end—this binary outcome should anchor positioning and could catalyze the stock as details emerge .
  • Earnings are largely a function of interest income on $2.17B cash; near-term property-level fundamentals (occupancy/rent spreads) are headwinds, so interest rate path remains key to EPS/FFO cadence .
  • Office exposure concentrated in four assets; Denver remains the highest-quality contributor; weaker Austin/Washington assets drag occupancy—lease progress there is the swing factor for cash NOI .
  • Capital intensity is rising on leasing (TI+LC ~$59/sq ft); expect cash yield pressure until occupancy stabilizes; this supports the optionality value of pursuing a wind-down vs incremental office reinvestment .
  • With no new dividend and buyback capacity available, capital returns depend on the strategic outcome; a wind-down could crystallize value but entails costs (~$0.40–$0.50/share discussed on the call) .
  • Trading view: near-term moves likely tied to any transaction leak/formal announcement and ongoing occupancy data; medium-term thesis is a sum-of-parts on cash plus property net assets adjusted for wind-down costs and timing .

Additional References (Q1 2024 materials access)

  • Press release and supplemental package within 8‑K (Item 2.02), including full financial statements and definitions .
  • Earnings call transcript (May 2, 2024): open-source copies available online .
  • Conference call announcement (BusinessWire) .